Thursday, October 04, 2007

A 2-Day Correction ... Wonder of Wonders!

Asian markets ended lower, reacting to a lower close on Wall Street, as investors continued to take profits from recent gains. HK was not helped by an article in the South China Morning Post (SCMP) suggesting that the Chinese authorities have banned the simultaneous listings of Chinese companies on the Shanghai and HK exchanges. In future they are supposed to list in Shanghai first and then later in HK.

This of course will have an impact on the HK market. The paper suggested that companies would choose to list in Shanghai because of the higher P/E's compared to HK. They appear to have forgotten that Chinese shares do not enjoy the high P/E's on listing as the CSRC apparently puts pressure on companies to lower their P/E's in order to ensure "successful" underwriting and aftermarket trading.

That does not mean that it would not affect HK. If the company achieves a P/E of, say, 40 times in the aftermarket, how can the management justify a later listing in HK for half of that? Actually, it will be quite easy as there is no market for secondary issues in China, and any additional fund raising will typically cause the stock price to fall. However, in the meantime, while we are all learning the new realities, China keeps chugging along with the lion's share (25%) of the worldwide IPO market. Unfortunately HK has been relegated to 8th place.

You can see how this affected sentiment by the market performance yesterday and today. But isn't it uncanny that the market tanked immediately after lunch as if a signal has been given? Interesting!

Market Indices
Australia All Ordinaries 6579.90 - 1.28%
Bombay Sensex* 17753.27 - 0.53%
Hong Kong Hang Seng 26973.98 - 1.84%
Japan Nikkei 17092.49 - 0.62%
Singapore STI 3783.81 + 0.78%
South Korea Composite 2003.60 - 0.52%
Taiwan Weighted 9627.39 - 0.75%

*Intraday trading

No comments: